MAN AND MACHINE — EP. 247 (The Pulse)
Channel: Tradier Hub
URL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fs_YmhluDs4
Streamed: July 6, 2026
Runtime: ~24 min
Source: YouTube auto-generated captions, lightly cleaned for readability. Verbatim content; filler and cross-talk retained.
======================================================================What is going on everybody? Welcome back to Man and Machine episode 247 here. Ben, imagine if our 250th lined up with the nation's 250th. That would have been pretty neat there. That would have been crazy.That would have broke the internet. Yeah. Yeah. Really? Doug would have Doug wouldn't have been able to handle that.Um, anyway, I'm gonna switching maybe to a better microphone. [music] Hopefully this is better. But happy Monday everybody. Um, that is better. Uh, happy I hope everybody had a great long holiday weekend.What's up, Doug? Um, happy birthday to the United States. Happy 250th. Um, quite a to-do here. Um, just everywhere, just about everywhere.Plus, you throw in the World Cup madness. Um, I don't know. It's a It's a fun time. I don't even know if that's fair to sa y. You know, it's a fun time to be an American.It's It's always fun. It's always seems to be stressful, too. Maybe. But, um, maybe not. Anyway, I saw a post.I saw a post and it was just putting yourself in the shoes of like a European in New York City, being here for the 4th of July, going to Coney Island and watching Joey Chestnut pound down 66 hot dogs. [laughter] Brutal. Um, that's the most American thing there is. Um he uh Joey Chestnut just a hero. Was it last year, two years ago?He had he he like put the the guy who stormed the thing and met that was a while ago. Yeah. Yeah. He Yeah. He took somebody and still won.Still won. Unbelievable. Um American hero. Uh I think he's from Jersey. I think Joey Chestnut's from Jersey.Don't quote me on that, but I saw a post recently and it wa s like, you know, top athletes from New Jersey and I think Joey Chestnut was on it. Um the fact that he gets classified as an athlete. I love it. He trains all year, man. Um no, he's from he's from uh Kentucky.Oh, that's just not it then. Um anyway, uh did you happen to see the um did you see any fireworks? Uh yeah. Yeah, I saw some fireworks. Okay.Nothing spectacular, but yeah, we saw fireworks. Nothing crazy. Okay, speaking of spectacular fireworks, the I what I saw at the White House was crazy. The amount of fireworks on the national lawn, I don't know if you saw any videos of this, but you know, President Trump said he was going to deliver quite a show, right? And he started with the fight a couple weeks ago and now the whole thing.I I don't know what the the um the measuring system is when we're talking about TNT or how many explosives, but apparently the fireworks show in DC last year on the national lawn was 20,000 mega kilo whatever the heck it was. Sure. This year 850,000. Wow. The show where I whatever that math is.um you know 40xed uh the amount of firepower if you will in the sky. Um insane if you pull up the video of just the first 10 seconds the entire looks like daytime all of a sudden just like what happened. Um anyway uh so hope you enjoyed your weekend. We got we're back first full week. Full week.Full week. Yeah. Full full week this week. We are back from uh not having a live show for a while. Uh took some summer holiday.Yep. But uh we're back. We're back now. We're live. Well, and markets have been closed on Fridays and weird days and everything el se.So um that'll that'll help too, but it won't help. But anyway, all right. So Ben, we're going to kind of free we're going to kind of, you know, free solo this here. Um we're going to talk results. We can pull up our own strategies.We can talk about some of our partners. We're going to learn a little something today. Do you have a little something prepared for the people or nah? Not so much. Uh we could talk about the updates to Shorebo again.Uh because that went live last week and we were not live on this show to talk about it. Okay, cool. I think that's a good idea then. So um let me pull up a couple things. We're going to get going here.I got King AI up and uh we're going to take a look. Ben, correct me if I'm wrong. Uh been a little while since King I forget what trades we had. I don't think we had any trades for King AI last week. No, no, no July trades for that.Could maybe I'm wrong. Um I think there was one if I'm remembering correctly, but maybe maybe there wasn't. No, I'm seeing Monday uh Wednesday the 1st. [music] We may have had one on Tuesday. Yes, we did.We had one on Tuesday the 30th. All right. but we did not have one since then. So, let me pull up my screen and we'll talk results here and you'll tell me if I'm going crazy on any of this. All right.So, Ben, I don't have the ability to share my screen. I'm handicapped here in the back today. So, you just have to throw that out there for me. Okay. So, what we can see here, this is King AI.All right. Since launch. All right. So what we're looking at recently here and I'll come back in here. So June we had a red month.All right. So in June lot of sitting out. How many trades here? 2 4 6 8 9. So little less trades than usual but nothing too crazy here.Um down call it 600 bucks per unit on the month. No trades in July just yet. All right. So, we'll see if that changes today. But, um, I want people to understand who are maybe newer to Peakbot, and I'll explain what the strategy is.It's a zero DTE, um, uh, iron condor on SPX. We are collecting credit. Um, so you can see we've had some fantastic months. We've had some red months, but this bot overall is incredibly profitable. Ben, by the way, any chance you get some music rolling?I know I'm bullying them back here. There's music going. Oh, I can hardly hear it. Turn up your speakers, man. All right.Still not that loud. It's okay. Um, pre tty high volume. I don't know why I can't hear it that well. That's weird.Um, interesting. But anyway, so King AI is coming off of three straight wins at the end of June here. Now, again, a lot of inactivity, but putting together quite a run. Now, the bot is up $2,885 per unit. It only uses $2,000 in cash to trade.[music] So on paper, we're talking about an excellent return here. Nearly 150% return. This launched. Jeez, Ben, we're going to be at the year mark soon. Uh this was September 17th, 2025.We launched King AI. Uh here's the equity curve here. Some draw downs as of late. um you know, we kind of hit this, you know, uh we'll call resistance even though it's just an equity curve on the uh returns here, but right around that 125% we seem to always come back and bounce right off of th at. So, um happy to see that.That is King AI. Um I've been trading King AI. I have not been trading King AI Turbo, Ben, which has been a little bit messy as of late. um still profitable, still over 100% return with $2,300 uh in total return using just 2K. However, I mean you guys could see it.It's it's in quite a draw down right now. Uh when we look at June, June was pretty tough. All right, so let's go back. We we went January green, February, I think our best month, if not [music] our second to best month on King AI Turbo. Just a little bit of red in March, red in April, another very big May.June we lost pretty good and no results yet in July. Ben, maybe honestly, you know, since we're on here live, maybe we got to give this King AI another look like we're doing with Shorebo. You know , I'm looking I'm looking at the numbers and it all kind of checks out in my opinion. Like if I'm looking at the win rate, I'm seeing [music] 79% win rate right there. Right now, when we look at the historical results that we produced through back testing, the win rate was only 80%.Uh for King AI Turbo, right, it's more aggressive. We know it's going to lose more. Um but the idea of course is that it [music] recovers faster. And how you use King AI Turbo is up to you. If you want that to be your daily trader, then you just need to be, you know, ready for the draw downs.Uh because the draw downs do happen as we see. Now, if we flip back to King AI in our back tested results, we saw the the win rate land a little over 90%. Right? So, we're a little bit lower than the expected win rate. But of course, you can't look at what's happening in reality and truly compare that one to one to what happened in the back test because there is just a variety of different factors that impact live markets that, you know, don't make their way into [music] uh into the back test of results.Uh so again, is there going to be a reversion of the mean? We never know, [music] right? But I would I would like to say I'm optimistic about it and [music] say that, you know, this win rate is going to go up to 90%. Right. Yep.Uh and get back to what we would expect it to be at. Um that's, you know, partially a side effect of the deltas that we're placing at and also a credit [music] to the machine learning model. Uh and Doug brings up a good point and he had a rough June as well. Might just be the market . Yeah.when you're trading iron condors through war news, right? That's kind of tough to do. And there was quite a bit of that in June. And I don't want to continue making excuses. I mean, we've been talking about this since April, right?Yeah. [music] And what was it? April was a very good month for King AI Turbo specifically. Um, so there are more there is more premium to earn. Oh, it was May.[music] Okay. Yeah, April. there is more premium to earn in more volatile times. Um, but at the same time, you're you got to look at that riskreward. [music] And I don't know, Dylan, we've been we've been live on this for uh I guess three years now, since 2023, saying how as options sellers, we prefer to stay put through volatility and really kind of just sit on our hands and not do much.um which this bot is not necessarily designed to do. It's designed to take as many trades as it can when the criteria is met. [music] Um it does have a VIX filter, right? So if VIX is over 30, then it won't trade. Um or if VIX gaps up [music] too much overnight, it will not trade.So there is a VIX filter. Um but that doesn't mean that you're not going to get trades during volatile periods or you know in the case of um all the the news that we've been having for the past few months something could get posted overnight and the market can can move tremendously and that'll just blow out your condor. Yeah. And that's why it's called man and machine too. Look, you know, we do our best and our partners do everything we can to provide you guys with strategy and and you know [music] how you know just an o pportunity to find some edge in the market, but you know, you also got to be responsible for your own positions, right?Like there definitely if we look at the red that's up on the King AI, I'm sure there was a couple opportunities to get out early and not have those big blows, but you got to be watching your account, right? So, it's it's a dance, right? that it is man and machine for me. I kind of got red flags. I love King Aai Turbo.I think it's a great sound strategy and exactly as you're saying, look, we're well above uh on King AAI Turbo. We're well above 100% return cash on cash here at an 80% win rate. We're spoiled though and we feel like it's not up to expectations. Why? Well, look what it did when it launched.People couldn't get enough of this, Ben. People were salivating over this. We went on a five $5,226 run with two losses from Thanksgiving last year to the end of March. Anybody who was on I mean insane. And so that's set the tone and set the bar very high for expectations [music] for retail traders who are opening accounts with $2,000, $5,000, $10,000 because it was changing the course of their month, their year, what they thought, right?But this is trading. You're going to be humbled. You're going to lose. But anybody who's sitting here complaining probably is because they started in June and turned on King AI Turbo and didn't keep an eye on it. Otherwise, um, you know, totally get it.So, um, we're going to head on over to Shorebo here as well. Um, we made some updates to Shorebo. I just wanted to show some results because we wanted to share with the, uh , share the idea that, um, these strategies, they need TLC, right? They need updates. Market conditions are constantly changing.So, when you come in here and you see a streak of losses, some of it is expected. Some of it makes you take a closer look and say, "Well, I wonder if we can come in here and stop the bleeding on any of this." And so that's kind of what we did with Shorebo here, which is our zero DTE opening range breakout strategy on SPX. Um, Ben, I can have you I I pulled down the results. You can pull them back up if you want me to, but maybe if you want to share a little bit of the information on the updates made to this strategy, and I think it's live and deployed, if not very soon. It is it is live deployed it is active [music] for everybody.So um there were two changes um that were made and um so the first change was [music] previously if there was entry criteria on [music] the put credit spread side we would um the bot would enable itself to get into a position all the way up until until 12:00 p.m. Eastern. Looking back at our last year of results uh and looking at time of entry um and results and so on and so forth, we actually saw that entries after 11 a.m. Eastern were hurting us. So that's a that's a quick [music] filter to change, right?Just change that 12:00 to 11:00. So and that's where the the call credit spread side already sat, right? And the reason why there was a difference there was because when we were back testing the strategy, we actually saw that, hey, it wasn't beneficial for the call side to trade after 11:00 a.m. From the back tested r esults, it looked like it was beneficial to trade after 11:00 a.m. up until 12:00 p.m.for the put side as well. But that proved itself wrong over the last, you know, year that this strategy has been live. So we changed that filter. Um, [music] so both sides can only trade until 11:00 a.m. Eastern.Now, the second thing, uh, the second update that was made to the Shbo strategy was, um, we're all familiar with the hedge. If you've been trading shortbow, you you've been familiar with how it hedges itself if price starts to move in the wrong direction. Um now I do believe this is a side effect of [music] how the markets have chopped over the last several months. Um but when looking back at live data right real trades that the bot has made not just back tested data we've found that more times than not when we would put a hedge position down. So essentially, if we were going to put credit spread, if price reversed on us, we would sell a call credit spread to collect some more premium.Basically throwing up a white flag and saying we're going to lose today. Let's make the loss uh the least painful that we can make it. Um however, looking back at data, we're doing ourselves more harm than good by doing that as well. So we've removed the hedge entry, which does make loers hurt a little bit more, right? If you're collecting an average of call it $150 to $200 in premium, a loss is going to be $300 to $350 while a win is only going to be that, you know, $150 to $200 [music] in uh in premium in a day.So, no more hedge and the put side will only trade until 11 a.m. Eastern. Um, so both sides, the put and the call side are now pretty much symmetrical. There is a VIX filter on the call side still. Uh we did find that to still be beneficial to have that criteria.Uh but two minor changes which hopefully will make a major impact and we'll have to let that play out over time and see because I mean back tested results look good but again you never know how strategies are going to respond once they get put into live markets. Couldn't agree more. Um I think that these are great updates for Shorebo. I think that this has been a sound strategy for us, but it was never the draw downs always kind of ate at the profits, right? So when when Shorebo was, you know, being activated by somebody who had a bit more of a feel [music] and saw the streaks and the trends and decided when to tu rn it on, when to turn it off, I I've had my fun with Shbo.I've I've been picky with it. I've made money on Shorebo, but I do understand that it's kind of a break even bot if you keep it running the whole time. So, these are why we're making these updates. Um, we're going to try and find that edge back and I think those are some great opportunities to do so. [music] Um, Ben, I'm not sure.Um, well, first of all, let's just mention for anybody who's new to the show, um, Peekbot has our own strategies in which we're talking about right now. A large part of Peakbot's business is um, our partners as well. Okay, so uh, head on over to our website peakbot.com. You can browse all of the strategies available in our bot shop. Okay, so this is going to be um about 40 strategies live at the moment b etween 35 and 40 right now.Ben's pulling it up. Uh maybe he can zoom in for us just a little bit. But um right now you'll see um it's actually just an alphabetical order, but you can sort this however you'd like based on the type of strategy, etc. Cash, buying power. So you can see some of our fantastic partners in here.This is across equities, options, and futures strategies. Okay. So, um, ton of opportunities in here. Some are more aggressive, some are more conservative, some [music] are meant for bigger portfolios, some are meant for small cash accounts and and and everything in between. All right.So, if you wanted to come and check us out, by the way, results are available for anybody who has results and has been live trading with us, the results are available. Go check them out and let us know if you have questions. And we got some really big names coming on the way here as well. Um, we've been busy on the partnership front in in in the best way. Um, so you're going to continue to see more and more partners enter the Peakbot marketplace where Peekbot is the automation provider.We're simply there to help customer support, provide the software, and make it as easy for your lead trader to just focus on trading. The ripple effect on that is huge, right, Ben? We're not just doing a favor to partners to earn more partners. If we can allow our partners to focus on trading and we handle everything else because that's what we're great at, then that impact is going to end up in your portfolio as well because they're not distracted with customer support and tech and everythin g else and development. That's our bread and butter, man.That's that's our bread basket. So, so let us let us handle that. And if you if you're listening to this and you're part of a trading community where there's a lead trader or educator, alert provider, signals, indicators, and you think that you'd like to automate those trades as they take them and copy them one for one or even multiplying. Uh let us know. We pay a nice uh I think we could say if not well we we you know there's affiliate fees, there's marketing fees involved if you're able to get an introduction to us.So [music] um let us know. But Ben, why don't we walk through economic events since it feels like it's been a month since we did that. Um, anything is it FOMC [music] week? No, no, no, no. I shouldn't do that to you ri ght now.That's at the end of this month. Okay. Sorry. Sorry. Um, go ahead.Take it away. All right. So, what do we have going on today? We have some services data. We have a Fed speech and some auctions uh later on this morning and then a quiet afternoon.Nothing on the economic calendar for this afternoon today into tomorrow we have doesn't look like too much in my opinion right I think trading view would agree we don't see any um high importance events that are listed here so the 1DT bots will be on now [music] Tuesday going into Wednesday lots of data in the morning we've got 10ear note auction which will turn some bots off we got FOMC minutes which will turn king uh condor off but king AI king AI turbo if criteria is still met will trade through and then from Wednesday to Thursday we don't have anything again of note until we've got this 30-year bond auction which will shut off again some bots then Thursday into Friday wow pretty light Friday that's a summer Friday if I ever saw one right um so overall I mean nothing too major this week uh in terms of bot activity, right? It [music] looks like the bot will be uh some bots will be off for a couple of days, but um no uh at least per bot standards, no major economic events getting in the way. Okay, happy to hear that. Doesn't mean that it's calm skies or anything, but um you know, who knows? Uh how's it looking this morning?What are futures doing? Uh futures are up $34. Um so that's about a half a percent. Okay. Um yeah, I mean we'll see.We'll see. I mean I would I would imagine that Donnie wanted the market to go up ov er Fourth of July weekend. So got to pay for those fireworks. Um so all right. [music] Well, we will uh we will likely be live this Friday.Believe we'll have a special guest, one of our partners. Don't hold me to that. still confirming schedules and such, but um tune in live Friday for noon Eastern time for the automation station where we'll talk through some of our partner strategies and give them a little bit of a opportunity to share more information. So, um thanks so much for tuning in and as always, we'll see you at the peak. Take care everybody.[music] You know how the financial world goes. Here comes the buzzkill. [music] Please make sure to take some time to read this boring disclaimer. We will owe you one.